The Atlantic’s second storm of the year may be developing over the Yucatan Peninsula, with the potential to reach Texas and Louisiana and flood Houston for the second time in a month.
Thunderstorms moving northwest from the Yucatan along the east of Mexico have an 80 percent chance of becoming tropical system by Tuesday, according to a statement issued at 2am New York time from the U.S National Hurricane Center in Miami. If the storm develops it would become Bill, the second of the Atlantic season.
“Interests in and along the northwestern Gulf of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system,” the NHC said on its website. “Tropical storm conditions are possible along portions of the middle and upper Texas cost and western Louisiana coast Monday night and Tuesday.”
Royal Dutch Shell PLC is removing some non-essential workers from the Gulf of Mexico, Ray Fisher, a spokesman for the company, said in an e-mail. It doesn’t expect the weather to affect operations, he said.
There’s a chance the storm will come ashore anywhere from Corpus Christi, Texas, to Lake Charles, Louisiana, if it develops, said Evan Duffy a meteorologist at AccuWeather Inc. in State Collage, Pennsylvania. The forecast models will be able to give a more accurate outlook once an actual canter forms.
Regardless of its chances of becoming a named system, which happens when its winds reach 39 miles per hour, rain may reach Texas in a few days, According to Duffy.
Source: Insurance Journal, June 15th, 2015
The year’s first forecast for the 2015 hurricane season predicts a considerably below-average season this year, with 7 named storms, 3 hurricanes and 1 major hurricane at category 3 strength or higher.
The 2015 Hurricane Seasonal Outlook, recently released by Dr. Phil Klotzback and Dr. Bill Gray at Colorado State University, is the lowest tropical season forecast the university has ever issued.
The forecast from the CSU team comes on the heels of one of the quietest hurricane seasons on record. Only eight storms were named in 2014. Six of those became hurricanes.
An average tropical season in the Atlantic contains roughly 12 named storms, 7 of which become hurricanes, and 3 that intensify to major hurricanes.
The Colorado State forecasters said the reason for their below-average forecast was due in part to the onset of El Niño, which is projected to strengthen throughout hurricane season. El Niño is the abnormal warming of the Pacific Ocean waters, which in turn causes cooler conditions in the Atlantic, making it less favorable for tropical development.
El Niño conditions also promote a stronger vertical wind shear in the Atlantic, making it more difficult for tropical cyclones to develop. In contrast, the presence of El Niño can lead to a more active tropical season for the Pacific Ocean.
The seasonal outlook is for the entire Atlantic Basin.
Any resident of a coastal area can tell you what June 1st means – it’s the beginning of hurricane season. With the date right around the corner, it’s an ideal time to build an emergency survival kit to ensure you’re ready in the event of a hurricane. According to www.ready.gov, here is a list of essential items to include in your kit:
Make sure to monitor expiration dates on canned food and restock as needed. It’s also a good idea to reassess your kit every year, as family’s needs change.
You may already have some of the basic emergency kit items in your home. The key is to make sure they are organized, easy to find, and easy to carry. If you are a Louisiana policyholder, and you need to purchase items, the 2015 Louisiana Hurricane Preparedness Sales Tax Holiday is Saturday, May 30th and Sunday, May 31st. During this annual holiday, consumers can make tax-free purchases on the first $1,500 of the sales price on a variety of supplies. To view a full list of tax-free items, visit www.revenue.louisiana.gov. Unfortunately, South Carolina doesn’t offer a similar tax holiday.
For additional suggestions to help you prepare for hurricane season, visit the Insurance Institute for Business and Home Safety website at www.disastersafety.org/hurricane.
NOAA has designed the week of May 24th – May 30th as Hurricane Preparedness Week and urges everyone to use this time to prepare, plan and know your evacuation zone. Visit www.nhc.noaa.gov for more information. While forecasters have predicted a quieter than normal hurricane season in 2015, it’s always important to be ready with a plan and supplies so you’re ready if disaster strikes.